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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

CD Moron vs Almagro

Prediction review

Chủ nhà form
Final score2–0Dự đoán 2–1
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng56%
Hòa28%
Đội khách thắng16%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Trúng
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD MoronAlmagro
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu63% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
56% / 28% / 16%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Almagro win (15.9%)Cơ hội kép1X84.1%1.19
Tài 37% · Xỉu 63%Goals 2.5Xỉu63%1.59
Có 33% · Không 67%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông67%1.49
2.19 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
8.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
CD Moron win56%1.79
Hòa28%3.57
Almagro win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Moron1.68

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 37% · Xỉu 63%

Almagro0.51

Khách share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 33% · Không 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

CD Moron

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Almagro

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Thắng probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.68
Expected goals
0.51
CD MoronAlmagro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Moron signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almagro signalChủ nhà unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Moron vs Almagro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Moron thắng 56%,Hòa 28%,Almagro thắng 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Tài 2.5 37% · Current selection Xỉu