Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 28% / 16%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Almagro win (15.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X84.1%1.19
Más de 37% · Menos de 63%Goals 2.5Menos de63%1.59
Sí 33% · No 67%Ambos equipos marcanNo67%1.49
2.19 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1——
8.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
CD Morón win56%1.79
Empate28%3.57
Almagro win16%6.25
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 76.7%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Más de 37% · Menos de 63%
Visitante share of expected goals 23.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSí 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCD Morón
WLWDL
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7
SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAlmagro
DLDWL
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5
SignalLocal unbeaten in 3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
16%7
Points from supplied form
51.68
Expected goals
0.51CD MorónAlmagro
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
CD Morón vs Almagro FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Morón ganada 56%，Empate 28%，Almagro ganada 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Más de 2.5 37% · Current selection Menos de。