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Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa42%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite31%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rapid ViennaSturm Graz
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
42% / 27% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Doppia Chance1273.5%1.36
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnano50%2.00
2.46 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapRapid Vienna winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rapid Vienna win42%2.382.1542.9%-0.9 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.5026.4%+0.6 pp
Sturm Graz win31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rapid Vienna1.26

Casa share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%

Sturm Graz1.20

Trasferta share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Rapid Vienna

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sturm Graz

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.26
Expected goals
1.20
Rapid ViennaSturm Graz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rapid Vienna signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturm Graz signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rapid Vienna vinta 42%,Pareggio 27%,Sturm Graz vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto