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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Meci ·

Rapid Viena vs SK Sturm Graz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde42%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți31%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rapid VienaSK Sturm Graz
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
42% / 27% / 31%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Șansă dublă1273.5%1.36
Peste 44% · Sub 56%Goals 2.5Sub56%1.79
Da 50% · Nu 50%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa50%2.00
2.46 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapRapid Viena winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rapid Viena win42%2.382.1542.9%-0.9 pp
Egal27%3.703.5026.4%+0.6 pp
SK Sturm Graz win31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rapid Viena1.26

Gazde share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 44% · Sub 56%

SK Sturm Graz1.20

Oaspeți share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 50% · Nu 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Rapid Viena

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Câștig probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.26
Expected goals
1.20
Rapid VienaSK Sturm Graz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rapid Viena signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Sturm Graz signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Rapid Viena vs SK Sturm Graz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rapid Viena câștig 42%,Egal 27%,SK Sturm Graz câștig 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Peste 2.5 44% · Current selection Sub