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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Match ·

Rapid Vienne vs SK Sturm Graz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rapid VienneSK Sturm Graz
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 27% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%Goals 2.5Moins de56%1.79
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentOui50%2.00
2.46 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapRapid Vienne winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rapid Vienne win42%2.382.1542.9%-0.9 pp
Nul27%3.703.5026.4%+0.6 pp
SK Sturm Graz win31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rapid Vienne1.26

Domicile share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%

SK Sturm Graz1.20

Extérieur share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Rapid Vienne

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.26
Expected goals
1.20
Rapid VienneSK Sturm Graz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rapid Vienne signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Sturm Graz signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Rapid Vienne vs SK Sturm Graz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rapid Vienne victoire 42%,Nul 27%,SK Sturm Graz victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Plus de 2.5 44% · Current selection Moins de