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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Match ·

Hartberg vs SV Ried

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.13 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur26%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score1–1HartbergSV Ried
Expected goals2.13Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 31% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Ried win (26.5%)Double chance1X73.5%1.36
Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%Goals 2.5Moins de64%1.56
Oui 42% · Non 58%Les deux équipes marquentNon58%1.72
2.13 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Hartberg win42%2.38
Nul31%3.23
SV Ried win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hartberg1.30

Domicile share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%

SV Ried0.83

Extérieur share of expected goals 39%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 42% · Non 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Hartberg

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

SV Ried

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.30
Expected goals
0.83
HartbergSV Ried
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hartberg signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Ried signalDomicile failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Hartberg vs SV Ried FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hartberg victoire 42%,Nul 31%,SV Ried victoire 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.13 · Plus de 2.5 36% · Current selection Moins de