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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Spiel ·

Hartberg vs SV Ried

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.13 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg26%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1HartbergSV Ried
Expected goals2.13Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 31% / 26%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Ried win (26.5%)Doppelte Chance1X73.5%1.36
Über 36% · Unter 64%Goals 2.5Unter64%1.56
Ja 42% · Nein 58%Beide Teams treffenNein58%1.72
2.13 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Hartberg win42%2.38
Unentschieden31%3.23
SV Ried win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hartberg1.30

Heim share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 36% · Unter 64%

SV Ried0.83

Auswärts share of expected goals 39%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nein 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Hartberg

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

SV Ried

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.30
Expected goals
0.83
HartbergSV Ried
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hartberg signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Ried signalHeim failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Hartberg vs SV Ried FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hartberg Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 31%,SV Ried Gewinn 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.13 · Über 2.5 36% · Current selection Unter