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Rapid Vienna vs SK Sturm Graz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier42%
Uavgjort27%
Borteseier31%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rapid ViennaSK Sturm Graz
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
42% / 27% / 31%KampresultatHjemmeseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Dobbel sjanse1273.5%1.36
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nei 50%Begge lag scorerJa50%2.00
2.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapRapid Vienna winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rapid Vienna win42%2.382.1542.9%-0.9 pp
Uavgjort27%3.703.5026.4%+0.6 pp
SK Sturm Graz win31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rapid Vienna1.26

Hjemme share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

SK Sturm Graz1.20

Borte share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nei 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Rapid Vienna

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poeng9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.26
Expected goals
1.20
Rapid ViennaSK Sturm Graz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rapid Vienna signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Sturm Graz signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Rapid Vienna vs SK Sturm Graz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rapid Vienna vunnet 42%,Uavgjort 27%,SK Sturm Graz vunnet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under