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BEL Belgio - Prima divisione A · Round 1 ·

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite36%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Zulte-WaregemGenk
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 28% / 36%Esito partitaVittoria casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Doppia Chance1272.5%1.38
Sopra 58% · Sotto 42%Goals 2.5Sopra58%1.72
Sì 61% · No 39%Entrambe le squadre segnano61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Zulte-Waregem win37%2.70
Pareggio28%3.57
Genk win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zulte-Waregem1.54

Casa share of expected goals 50.8%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 58% · Sotto 42%

Genk1.49

Trasferta share of expected goals 49.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Zulte-Waregem

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Genk

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
36%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.54
Expected goals
1.49
Zulte-WaregemGenk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zulte-Waregem signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genk signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zulte-Waregem vinta 37%,Pareggio 28%,Genk vinta 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Sopra 2.5 58% · Current selection Sopra