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BEL Belgien - 1. Division A · Round 1 ·

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg36%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Zulte-WaregemGenk
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 28% / 36%SpielergebnisHeimsieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Doppelte Chance1272.5%1.38
Über 58% · Unter 42%Goals 2.5Über58%1.72
Ja 61% · Nein 39%Beide Teams treffenJa61%1.64
3.01 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Zulte-Waregem win37%2.70
Unentschieden28%3.57
Genk win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zulte-Waregem1.52

Heim share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 58% · Unter 42%

Genk1.49

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nein 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Zulte-Waregem

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Genk

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
36%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.52
Expected goals
1.49
Zulte-WaregemGenk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zulte-Waregem signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genk signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zulte-Waregem Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 28%,Genk Gewinn 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Über 2.5 58% · Current selection Über