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BEL Belgia - First Division A · Round 1 ·

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy37%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości36%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Zulte-WaregemGenk
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
37% / 28% / 36%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Podwójna szansa1272.4%1.38
Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%Goals 2.5Powyżej58%1.72
Tak 61% · Nie 39%Obie drużyny strzeląTak61%1.64
3.01 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Zulte-Waregem win37%2.70
Remis28%3.57
Genk win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zulte-Waregem1.52

Gospodarze share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%

Genk1.49

Goście share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 61% · Nie 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Zulte-Waregem

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Genk

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
36%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.52
Expected goals
1.49
Zulte-WaregemGenk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zulte-Waregem signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genk signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zulte-Waregem wygrana 37%,Remis 28%,Genk wygrana 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Powyżej 2.5 58% · Current selection Powyżej