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IRL Republic of Ireland First Division · Fixture ·

UCD vs Wexford FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Away form
Home win48%
Draw25%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1UCDWexford FC
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 25% / 27%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Double chance1274.7%1.34
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.83 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapUCD winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCD win48%2.081.9047%+1.0 pp
Draw25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Wexford FC win27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCD1.89

Home share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Wexford FC0.94

Away share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

UCD

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Wexford FC

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.94
UCDWexford FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCD signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wexford FC signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

UCD vs Wexford FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCD win 48%,Draw 25%,Wexford FC win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over