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IRL Irland - 1. Division · Spiel ·

UCD vs Wexford FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg27%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score2–1UCDWexford FC
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 25% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Doppelte Chance1274.7%1.34
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.83 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapUCD winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCD win48%2.081.9047%+1.0 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Wexford FC win27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCD1.89

Heim share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

Wexford FC0.94

Auswärts share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

UCD

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Wexford FC

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.94
UCDWexford FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCD signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wexford FC signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

UCD vs Wexford FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCD Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 25%,Wexford FC Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über