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IRL Iirimaa First Division · Final ·

UCD vs Wexford FC

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score4–1Ennustus 2–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit48%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit27%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit48% selection probability
Projected score2–1UCDWexford FC
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle54% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
48% / 25% / 27%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Topeltvõimalus1274.7%1.34
Üle 54% · Alla 46%Goals 2.5Üle54%1.85
Jah 52% · Ei 48%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah52%1.92
2.83 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
8.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapUCD winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCD win48%2.081.9047%+1.0 pp
Viik25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Wexford FC win27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCD1.89

Kodu share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 54% · Alla 46%

Wexford FC0.94

Võõras share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 52% · Ei 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

UCD

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Wexford FC

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Võit probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.94
UCDWexford FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCD signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wexford FC signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

UCD vs Wexford FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCD võit 48%,Viik 25%,Wexford FC võit 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Üle 2.5 54% · Current selection Üle