Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 27% / 26%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Scunthorpe win (25.8%)Double chance1X74.2%1.35
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.94 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Southend win48%2.08
Draw27%3.70
Scunthorpe win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 62.6%
Total expected goals2.94Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 37.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchSouthend
WLWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchScunthorpe
DLWLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
26%9
Points from supplied form
51.84
Expected goals
1.10SouthendScunthorpe
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Southend vs Scunthorpe FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Southend win 48%，Draw 27%，Scunthorpe win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。