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ENG Inglaterra - National League · Partido ·

Southend vs Scunthorpe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local48%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local48% selection probability
Projected score2–1SouthendScunthorpe
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
48% / 27% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Scunthorpe win (25.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X74.2%1.35
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
2.94 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Southend win48%2.08
Empate27%3.70
Scunthorpe win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Southend1.84

Local share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Scunthorpe1.10

Visitante share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Southend

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Scunthorpe

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.84
Expected goals
1.10
SouthendScunthorpe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Southend signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Scunthorpe signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Southend vs Scunthorpe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Southend ganada 48%,Empate 27%,Scunthorpe ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de