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ENG England National League · Kamp ·

Southend vs Scunthorpe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier48%
Uavgjort27%
Borteseier26%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier48% selection probability
Projected score2–1SouthendScunthorpe
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
48% / 27% / 26%KampresultatHjemmeseier48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Scunthorpe win (25.8%)Dobbel sjanse1X74.2%1.35
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 56% · Nei 44%Begge lag scorerJa56%1.79
2.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Southend win48%2.08
Uavgjort27%3.70
Scunthorpe win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Southend1.84

Hjemme share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Scunthorpe1.10

Borte share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nei 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Southend

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Scunthorpe

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.84
Expected goals
1.10
SouthendScunthorpe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Southend signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Scunthorpe signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Southend vs Scunthorpe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Southend vunnet 48%,Uavgjort 27%,Scunthorpe vunnet 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over