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ENG Αγγλία - Νάσιοναλ Λιγκ · Αγώνας ·

Σάουθεντ vs Σκάνθορπ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου48%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου48% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΣάουθεντΣκάνθορπ
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω56% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
48% / 27% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σκάνθορπ win (25.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.2%1.35
Άνω 56% · Κάτω 44%Goals 2.5Άνω56%1.79
Ναι 56% · Όχι 44%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56%1.79
2.94 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σάουθεντ win48%2.08
Ισοπαλία27%3.70
Σκάνθορπ win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σάουθεντ1.84

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 56% · Κάτω 44%

Σκάνθορπ1.10

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 56% · Όχι 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σάουθεντ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σκάνθορπ

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.84
Expected goals
1.10
ΣάουθεντΣκάνθορπ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σάουθεντ signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σκάνθορπ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Σάουθεντ vs Σκάνθορπ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σάουθεντ νίκη 48%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Σκάνθορπ νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Άνω 2.5 56% · Current selection Άνω