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ENG Angleterre - National League · Match ·

Southend vs Scunthorpe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur26%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score2–1SouthendScunthorpe
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 27% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Scunthorpe win (25.8%)Double chance1X74.2%1.35
Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%Goals 2.5Plus de56%1.79
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
2.94 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Southend win48%2.08
Nul27%3.70
Scunthorpe win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Southend1.84

Domicile share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%

Scunthorpe1.10

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Southend

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Scunthorpe

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.84
Expected goals
1.10
SouthendScunthorpe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Southend signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Scunthorpe signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Southend vs Scunthorpe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Southend victoire 48%,Nul 27%,Scunthorpe victoire 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Plus de 2.5 56% · Current selection Plus de