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ENG England National League · Fixture ·

Solihull Moors vs Boston Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw27%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Solihull MoorsBoston Utd
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 27% / 31%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Solihull Moors win41%2.44
Draw27%3.70
Boston Utd win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Solihull Moors1.63

Home share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Boston Utd1.30

Away share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Solihull Moors

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Boston Utd

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.63
Expected goals
1.30
Solihull MoorsBoston Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Solihull Moors signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boston Utd signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Solihull Moors vs Boston Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Solihull Moors win 41%,Draw 27%,Boston Utd win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over