Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 26% / 37%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Double chance1274.4%1.34
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.63 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Qingdao Hainiu win38%2.63
Draw26%3.85
Shanghai Shenhua win37%2.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50.4%
Total expected goals3.63Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%
Away share of expected goals 49.6%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchQingdao Hainiu
LLLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchShanghai Shenhua
LLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
37%1
Points from supplied form
61.83
Expected goals
1.80Qingdao HainiuShanghai Shenhua
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Qingdao Hainiu win 38%，Draw 26%，Shanghai Shenhua win 37%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.63 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over。