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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.63 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde38%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți37%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Qingdao HainiuShanghai Shenhua
Expected goals3.63Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste70% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
38% / 26% / 37%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Șansă dublă1274.4%1.34
Peste 70% · Sub 30%Goals 2.5Peste70%1.43
Da 70% · Nu 30%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa70%1.43
3.63 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Qingdao Hainiu win38%2.63
Egal26%3.85
Shanghai Shenhua win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Qingdao Hainiu1.83

Gazde share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals3.63Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 70% · Sub 30%

Shanghai Shenhua1.80

Oaspeți share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 70% · Nu 30%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Qingdao Hainiu

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Shanghai Shenhua

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Câștig probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.83
Expected goals
1.80
Qingdao HainiuShanghai Shenhua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Qingdao Hainiu signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanghai Shenhua signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Qingdao Hainiu câștig 38%,Egal 26%,Shanghai Shenhua câștig 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.63 · Peste 2.5 70% · Current selection Peste