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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Κινγκντάο Χαϊνιού vs Σανγκάη Σένμπουα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.63 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου38%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Κινγκντάο ΧαϊνιούΣανγκάη Σένμπουα
Expected goals3.63Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω70% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
38% / 26% / 37%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1274.4%1.34
Άνω 70% · Κάτω 30%Goals 2.5Άνω70%1.43
Ναι 70% · Όχι 30%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70%1.43
3.63 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
10.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Κινγκντάο Χαϊνιού win38%2.63
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Σανγκάη Σένμπουα win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κινγκντάο Χαϊνιού1.83

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals3.63Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 70% · Κάτω 30%

Σανγκάη Σένμπουα1.80

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 70% · Όχι 30%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κινγκντάο Χαϊνιού

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σανγκάη Σένμπουα

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.83
Expected goals
1.80
Κινγκντάο ΧαϊνιούΣανγκάη Σένμπουα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κινγκντάο Χαϊνιού signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σανγκάη Σένμπουα signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Κινγκντάο Χαϊνιού vs Σανγκάη Σένμπουα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κινγκντάο Χαϊνιού νίκη 38%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Σανγκάη Σένμπουα νίκη 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.63 · Άνω 2.5 70% · Current selection Άνω