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SCO Scotland League One · Round 1 ·

Queen of South vs Peterhead

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.59 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw26%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Queen of SouthPeterhead
Expected goals3.59Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 26% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.59 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapQueen of South winDifference+2.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Queen of South win37%2.702.6034.5%+2.5 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Peterhead win37%2.702.3039%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Queen of South2.33

Home share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals3.59Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Peterhead1.26

Away share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Queen of South

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Peterhead

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
1.26
Queen of SouthPeterhead
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Queen of South signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Peterhead signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Queen of South vs Peterhead FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Queen of South win 37%,Draw 26%,Peterhead win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over