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SCO Skotland - League One · Round 1 ·

Queen of South vs Peterhead

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.59 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr52%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr24%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Queen of SouthPeterhead
Expected goals3.59Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
52% / 24% / 24%KampresultatHjemmesejr52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Peterhead win (23.8%)Dobbeltchance1X76.2%1.31
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Begge hold scorerJa65%1.54
3.59 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Queen of South win52%1.92
Uafgjort24%4.17
Peterhead win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Queen of South2.33

Hjemme share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals3.59Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Peterhead1.26

Ude share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Queen of South

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Peterhead

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalUde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vundet probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
1.26
Queen of SouthPeterhead
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Queen of South signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Peterhead signalUde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Queen of South vs Peterhead FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Queen of South vundet 52%,Uafgjort 24%,Peterhead vundet 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over