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SCO Écosse - League One · Round 1 ·

Queen of South vs Peterhead

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.59 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Queen of SouthPeterhead
Expected goals3.59Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 26% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%Goals 2.5Plus de70%1.43
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
3.59 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapQueen of South winDifference+2.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Queen of South win37%2.702.6034.5%+2.5 pp
Nul26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Peterhead win37%2.702.3039%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Queen of South2.33

Domicile share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals3.59Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%

Peterhead1.26

Extérieur share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Queen of South

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Peterhead

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
1.26
Queen of SouthPeterhead
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Queen of South signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Peterhead signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Queen of South vs Peterhead FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Queen of South victoire 37%,Nul 26%,Peterhead victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Plus de 2.5 70% · Current selection Plus de