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SCO Scotland League One · Round 1 ·

Ross County vs Montrose

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Away form
Home win67%
Draw21%
Away win12%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 67% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win67% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ross CountyMontrose
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
67% / 21% / 12%Match resultHome win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Montrose win (11.9%)Double chance1X88.1%1.14
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ross County win67%1.491.2769.9%
Draw21%4.764.5019.7%
Montrose win12%8.338.5010.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ross County1.83

Home share of expected goals 68%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Montrose0.86

Away share of expected goals 32%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ross County

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Montrose

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.83
Expected goals
0.86
Ross CountyMontrose
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ross County signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montrose signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Ross County vs Montrose FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ross County win 67%,Draw 21%,Montrose win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over