Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 27% / 19%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union La Calera win (19.5%)Double chance1X80.5%1.24
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.54 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapUnion La Calera winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nublense win53%1.891.7553.1%-0.1 pp
Draw27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Union La Calera win19%5.264.7519.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 66.5%
Total expected goals2.54Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 33.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchNublense
DWDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchUnion La Calera
LLDDD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Win probability excluding draw
19%9
Points from supplied form
31.69
Expected goals
0.85NublenseUnion La Calera
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Nublense vs Union La Calera FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nublense win 53%，Draw 27%，Union La Calera win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.54 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。