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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Fixture ·

Palestino vs Huachipato

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw27%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1PalestinoHuachipato
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 27% / 27%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Huachipato win (27.1%)Double chance1X72.9%1.37
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Palestino win46%2.17
Draw27%3.70
Huachipato win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Palestino1.78

Home share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Huachipato1.15

Away share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Palestino

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Huachipato

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.78
Expected goals
1.15
PalestinoHuachipato
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Palestino signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Huachipato signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Palestino vs Huachipato FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Palestino win 46%,Draw 27%,Huachipato win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over