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INT チリ リーガ・デ・プリメーラ · 試合 ·

パレスティーノ vs ウアチパト

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利46%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利46% selection probability
Projected score2–1パレスティーノウアチパト
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
46% / 27% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ウアチパト win (27.1%)ダブルチャンス1X72.9%1.37
オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%Goals 2.5オーバー56%1.79
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
2.93 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
パレスティーノ win46%2.17
引き分け27%3.70
ウアチパト win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

パレスティーノ1.78

ホーム share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%

ウアチパト1.15

アウェイ share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

パレスティーノ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ウアチパト

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.78
Expected goals
1.15
パレスティーノウアチパト
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01パレスティーノ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ウアチパト signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

パレスティーノ vs ウアチパト FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

パレスティーノ 勝ち 46%,引き分け 27%,ウアチパト 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · オーバー 2.5 56% · Current selection オーバー