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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Wedstrijd ·

Palestino vs Huachipato

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst27%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1PalestinoHuachipato
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 27% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Huachipato win (27.1%)Dubbele Kans1X72.9%1.37
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
2.93 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Palestino win46%2.17
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Huachipato win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Palestino1.78

Thuis share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Huachipato1.15

Uit share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Palestino

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Huachipato

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.78
Expected goals
1.15
PalestinoHuachipato
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Palestino signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Huachipato signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Palestino vs Huachipato FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Palestino gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 27%,Huachipato gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven