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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Final ·

Nublense vs Union La Calera

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst19%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score2–1NublenseUnion La Calera
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 27% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union La Calera win (19.5%)Dubbele Kans1X80.5%1.24
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 47% · Nee 53%Beide teams scorenNee53%1.89
2.54 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapUnion La Calera winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nublense win53%1.891.7553.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Union La Calera win19%5.264.7519.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nublense1.69

Thuis share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

Union La Calera0.85

Uit share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nee 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Nublense

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Union La Calera

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.69
Expected goals
0.85
NublenseUnion La Calera
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nublense signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union La Calera signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Nublense vs Union La Calera FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nublense gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 27%,Union La Calera gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder