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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Final ·

Nublense vs Union La Calera

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–1Predicție 2–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde53%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți19%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde53% selection probability
Projected score2–1NublenseUnion La Calera
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
53% / 27% / 19%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union La Calera win (19.5%)Șansă dublă1X80.5%1.24
Peste 47% · Sub 53%Goals 2.5Sub53%1.89
Da 47% · Nu 53%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53%1.89
2.54 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapUnion La Calera winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nublense win53%1.891.7553.1%-0.1 pp
Egal27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Union La Calera win19%5.264.7519.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nublense1.69

Gazde share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 47% · Sub 53%

Union La Calera0.85

Oaspeți share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 47% · Nu 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Nublense

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Union La Calera

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Câștig probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.69
Expected goals
0.85
NublenseUnion La Calera
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nublense signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union La Calera signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Nublense vs Union La Calera FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nublense câștig 53%,Egal 27%,Union La Calera câștig 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Peste 2.5 47% · Current selection Sub