Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 28% / 24%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Xelaju win (23.9%)Double chance1X76.1%1.31
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.56 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin12.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malacateco win49%2.041.8548.1%—
Draw28%3.573.2027.8%—
Xelaju win24%4.173.7024.1%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.9%
Total expected goals2.56Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 39.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchMalacateco
LDWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchXelaju
WLLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Win probability excluding draw
24%7
Points from supplied form
61.56
Expected goals
1.00MalacatecoXelaju
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Malacateco vs Xelaju FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Malacateco win 49%，Draw 28%，Xelaju win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。