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INT Guatemala Liga Nacional · Partita ·

Malacateco vs Xelaju

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa49%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite24%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa49% selection probability
Projected score2–1MalacatecoXelaju
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
49% / 28% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Xelaju win (23.9%)Doppia Chance1X76.1%1.31
Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%Goals 2.5Sotto53%1.89
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.56 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malacateco win49%2.041.8548.1%
Pareggio28%3.573.2027.8%
Xelaju win24%4.173.7024.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malacateco1.56

Casa share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%

Xelaju1.00

Trasferta share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Malacateco

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Xelaju

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.56
Expected goals
1.00
MalacatecoXelaju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malacateco signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Xelaju signalCasa unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Malacateco vs Xelaju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malacateco vinta 49%,Pareggio 28%,Xelaju vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Sopra 2.5 47% · Current selection Sotto