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INT Guatemala Liga Nacional · Spiel ·

Malacateco vs Xelaju

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.54 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg23%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score2–1MalacatecoXelaju
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 30% / 23%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Xelaju win (22.6%)Doppelte Chance1X77.4%1.29
Über 46% · Unter 54%Goals 2.5Unter54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin16.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malacateco win47%2.131.8346.8%
Unentschieden30%3.332.8030.6%
Xelaju win23%4.353.8022.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malacateco1.55

Heim share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 46% · Unter 54%

Xelaju0.99

Auswärts share of expected goals 39%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Malacateco

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Xelaju

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
23%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.55
Expected goals
0.99
MalacatecoXelaju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malacateco signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Xelaju signalHeim unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Malacateco vs Xelaju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malacateco Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 30%,Xelaju Gewinn 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Über 2.5 46% · Current selection Unter