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INT Guatemala Liga Nacional · Spiel ·

Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.60 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg53%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg22%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 53% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportivo MixcoMarquense
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
53% / 25% / 22%SpielergebnisHeimsieg53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Marquense win (22.4%)Doppelte Chance1X77.6%1.29
Über 48% · Unter 52%Goals 2.5Unter52%1.92
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenNein50%2.00
2.60 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Deportivo Mixco win53%1.89
Unentschieden25%4.00
Marquense win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Mixco1.63

Heim share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 48% · Unter 52%

Marquense0.97

Auswärts share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Deportivo Mixco

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Marquense

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.63
Expected goals
0.97
Deportivo MixcoMarquense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Mixco signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Marquense signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Mixco Gewinn 53%,Unentschieden 25%,Marquense Gewinn 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Über 2.5 48% · Current selection Unter