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INT Guatemala Liga Nacional · Kamp ·

Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr53%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr23%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 53% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportivo MixcoMarquense
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
53% / 25% / 23%KampresultatHjemmesejr53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Marquense win (22.7%)Dobbeltchance1X77.3%1.29
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Begge hold scorerJa50%2.00
2.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Deportivo Mixco win53%1.89
Uafgjort25%4.00
Marquense win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Mixco1.64

Hjemme share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Marquense0.98

Ude share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Deportivo Mixco

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Marquense

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vundet probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.64
Expected goals
0.98
Deportivo MixcoMarquense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Mixco signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Marquense signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Mixco vundet 53%,Uafgjort 25%,Marquense vundet 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under