Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 25% / 27%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Double chance1275.1%1.33
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.57 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
St Gallen win49%2.04
Draw25%4.00
Lucerne win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.6%
Total expected goals3.57Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%
Away share of expected goals 38.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchSt Gallen
WWLWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchLucerne
LLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Win probability excluding draw
27%12
Points from supplied form
62.20
Expected goals
1.37St GallenLucerne
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
St Gallen vs Lucerne FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
St Gallen win 49%，Draw 25%，Lucerne win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.57 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over。