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SWE Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Fixture ·

Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsunds IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw25%
Away win38%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lidköpings FKStenungsunds IF
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 25% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Double chance1274.8%1.34
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapLidköpings FK winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lidköpings FK win37%2.702.4536.7%+0.3 pp
Draw25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Stenungsunds IF win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lidköpings FK1.31

Home share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Stenungsunds IF1.24

Away share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lidköpings FK

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Stenungsunds IF

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.31
Expected goals
1.24
Lidköpings FKStenungsunds IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lidköpings FK signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stenungsunds IF signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsunds IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lidköpings FK win 37%,Draw 25%,Stenungsunds IF win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under