Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 27% / 27%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guingamp win (26.9%)Double chance1X73.1%1.37
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Metz win46%2.171.9546.9%—
Draw27%3.703.4026.9%—
Guingamp win27%3.703.5026.1%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.9%
Total expected goals2.55Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 43.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchMetz
W
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3
SignalHome unbeaten 1/1
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchGuingamp
DLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Win probability excluding draw
27%3
Points from supplied form
11.45
Expected goals
1.10MetzGuingamp
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Metz vs Guingamp FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Metz win 46%，Draw 27%，Guingamp win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。