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FRA Frankreich - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Metz vs Guingamp

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg27%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score1–1MetzGuingamp
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 27% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guingamp win (26.9%)Doppelte Chance1X73.1%1.37
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Metz win46%2.171.9546.9%
Unentschieden27%3.703.4026.9%
Guingamp win27%3.703.5026.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Metz1.45

Heim share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

Guingamp1.10

Auswärts share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Metz

3.00pts / match
Gespielt1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punkte3

SignalHeim unbeaten 1/1

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Guingamp

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.45
Expected goals
1.10
MetzGuingamp
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Metz signalHeim unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guingamp signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Metz vs Guingamp FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Metz Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 27%,Guingamp Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter