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FRA Francie - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Metz vs Guingamp

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích46%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostů27%
Market-based forecastVýhra domácíchTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích46% selection probability
Projected score1–1MetzGuingamp
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně53% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
46% / 27% / 27%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guingamp win (26.9%)Dvojitá šance1X73.1%1.37
Více 47% · Méně 53%Goals 2.5Méně53%1.89
Ano 52% · Ne 48%Oba týmy skórujíAno52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.5 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽádné
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Metz win46%2.171.9546.9%
Remíza27%3.703.4026.9%
Guingamp win27%3.703.5026.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Metz1.45

Domácí share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 47% · Méně 53%

Guingamp1.10

Hosté share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 52% · Ne 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Metz

3.00pts / match
Odehráno1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Body3

SignalDomácí unbeaten 1/1

Hosté-context · form sequence

Guingamp

0.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.45
Expected goals
1.10
MetzGuingamp
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Metz signalDomácí unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guingamp signalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Metz vs Guingamp FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Metz výhra 46%,Remíza 27%,Guingamp výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Více 2.5 47% · Current selection Méně