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FRA France - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Metz vs Guingamp

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur27%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score1–1MetzGuingamp
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 27% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guingamp win (26.9%)Double chance1X73.1%1.37
Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%Goals 2.5Moins de53%1.89
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Metz win46%2.171.9546.9%
Nul27%3.703.4026.9%
Guingamp win27%3.703.5026.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Metz1.45

Domicile share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%

Guingamp1.10

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Metz

3.00pts / match
Joués1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalDomicile unbeaten 1/1

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Guingamp

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.45
Expected goals
1.10
MetzGuingamp
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Metz signalDomicile unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guingamp signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Metz vs Guingamp FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Metz victoire 46%,Nul 27%,Guingamp victoire 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Plus de 2.5 47% · Current selection Moins de