Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 26% / 26%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Double chance1274.2%1.35
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.74 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapWorkington winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gainsborough win48%2.081.9047.6%+0.4 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Workington win26%3.853.4026.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 62%
Total expected goals2.74Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%
Away share of expected goals 38%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchGainsborough
LLWLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchWorkington
WLDLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
26%4
Points from supplied form
71.70
Expected goals
1.04GainsboroughWorkington
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Gainsborough vs Workington FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Gainsborough win 48%，Draw 26%，Workington win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.74 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over。