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ENG England Northern Premier League · Trận đấu ·

Gainsborough vs Workington

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng48%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng26%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng48% selection probability
Projected score2–1GainsboroughWorkington
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài52% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
48% / 26% / 26%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Cơ hội kép1274.2%1.35
Tài 52% · Xỉu 48%Goals 2.5Tài52%1.92
Có 53% · Không 47%Cả hai đội ghi bàn53%1.89
2.74 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.1 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapWorkington winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gainsborough win48%2.081.9047.6%+0.4 pp
Hòa26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Workington win26%3.853.4026.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gainsborough1.70

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 62%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 52% · Xỉu 48%

Workington1.04

Khách share of expected goals 38%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · Không 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Gainsborough

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Workington

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Thắng probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.04
GainsboroughWorkington
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gainsborough signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Workington signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gainsborough vs Workington FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gainsborough thắng 48%,Hòa 26%,Workington thắng 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Tài 2.5 52% · Current selection Tài