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ENG England Northern Premier League · Maç ·

Gainsborough vs Workington

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır48%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır26%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır48% selection probability
Projected score2–1GainsboroughWorkington
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst52% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
48% / 26% / 26%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Çifte Şans1274.2%1.35
Üst 52% · Alt 48%Goals 2.5Üst52%1.92
Evet 53% · Hayır 47%Karşılıklı gol varEvet53%1.89
2.74 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.1 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapWorkington winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gainsborough win48%2.081.9047.6%+0.4 pp
Beraberlik26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Workington win26%3.853.4026.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gainsborough1.70

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 62%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 52% · Alt 48%

Workington1.04

Deplasman share of expected goals 38%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 53% · Hayır 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Gainsborough

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Workington

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.04
GainsboroughWorkington
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gainsborough signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Workington signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gainsborough vs Workington FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gainsborough kazanç 48%,Beraberlik 26%,Workington kazanç 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · 2.5 Üst 52% · Current selection Üst