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ENG Engeland - Northern Premier League · Wedstrijd ·

Gainsborough vs Workington

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst26%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–1GainsboroughWorkington
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 26% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Dubbele Kans1274.2%1.35
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.74 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapWorkington winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gainsborough win48%2.081.9047.6%+0.4 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Workington win26%3.853.4026.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gainsborough1.70

Thuis share of expected goals 62%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

Workington1.04

Uit share of expected goals 38%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Gainsborough

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Workington

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.04
GainsboroughWorkington
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gainsborough signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Workington signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gainsborough vs Workington FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gainsborough gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 26%,Workington gewonnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven