Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 33% / 29%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Machida Zelvia win (29.3%)Double chance1X70.7%1.41
Over 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Tokyo win38%2.63
Draw33%3.03
Machida Zelvia win29%3.45
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.3%
Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 30% · Under 70%
Away share of expected goals 43.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchFC Tokyo
LLDWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchMachida Zelvia
WDDWW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
29%4
Points from supplied form
111.07
Expected goals
0.83FC TokyoMachida Zelvia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Tokyo win 38%，Draw 33%，Machida Zelvia win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.90 · Over 2.5 30% · Current selection Under。