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JPN Japão - J-League · Round 1 ·

FC Tóquio vs Machida Zelvia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa38%
Empate33%
Vitória visitante29%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa38% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC TóquioMachida Zelvia
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo70% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
38% / 33% / 29%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Machida Zelvia win (29.3%)Dupla Chance1X70.7%1.41
Acima 30% · Abaixo 70%Goals 2.5Abaixo70%1.43
Sim 38% · Não 62%Ambas as equipes marcamNão62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
FC Tóquio win38%2.63
Empate33%3.03
Machida Zelvia win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Tóquio1.07

Mandante share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 30% · Abaixo 70%

Machida Zelvia0.83

Visitante share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 38% · Não 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

FC Tóquio

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante failed to score: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Machida Zelvia

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.07
Expected goals
0.83
FC TóquioMachida Zelvia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Tóquio signalMandante failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Machida Zelvia signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

FC Tóquio vs Machida Zelvia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Tóquio ganhou 38%,Empate 33%,Machida Zelvia ganhou 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Acima 2.5 30% · Current selection Abaixo